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These debt-funded projects create “indirect but potentially material” exposure to fiscal risk, the analysts wrote. Beyond infrastructure, governments will have to plan for labor disruptions and related social support. The IMF estimates 40% of global jobs—and 60% in advanced economies—are exposed to AI, particularly high-skill roles, potentially eroding payroll taxes while spiking demand for reskilling and safety nets.
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In Asia excluding Japan, organic revenue slipped 4% for the year. Performance improved in the second half, however, with organic growth of 2% in the third quarter and 1% in the fourth quarter, reversing the first-half downturn.
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